“Chinese Fighter Drops Flares in Front of Aussie Helo in ‘Unprofessional’ Action, Say Officials,” USNI News. Geostrategery and military classrooms. The likelihood that Chinese communists will purposefully plan and execute a war the same way dictator Putin did against Ukraine is low-ish. The likelihood that the Taiwan Strait is where the Chinese communist war begins is also low — even dictator Xi knows any such action will guarantee a third world war and the end of his communist dictatorship. My bet is on something like this incident in the South, East, Yellow, and Japan Seas — where the Chinese communists believe they can nudge and prod right up to the edge, even over the edge to move the goalpost, and somehow manage and contain the conflict. Unlike the armed forces of democratic nations led by the US, the Chinese communist military is not as well trained, not as professional, and not as disciplined. There is also the dictator’s conundrum – everyone working below dictator Xi is guessing what the Dear Leader wants, and everyone is trying to show maximum toughness and loyalty to the dictator. I have read, unconfirmed, reports that this is how that Chinese school bus-sized spy “balloon” invaded the heartland of the United States – not Xi approved, a lower-level commander trying to curry favor. How long before a Chinese communist combat pilot or naval captain takes things a step too far and kills someone? We have had many close calls — the Chinese communist pilot taking down a US Navy EP-3 near Hainan Island during the George W Bush administration being a good example. Back during the Bush days communist China was still too profitable for the Free World for that crisis to escalate — in 2024 China is a big financial deficit — a similar incident, poorly trained, trying to please the leadership, hot-dogging communist Chinese pilot or captain can easily cause a wider-broader war.
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