“美空軍逾2400億JDAM套件增產購案由波音得標 US Air Force is ordering $7.5 billion in additional JDAM kits,” 上報 Up Media. Geostrategery and world history classrooms. The mighty US Air Force is spending 7.5 billion on additional JDAM ‘smart-ish” bomb kits. Plain speaking may be considered too harsh — reality as best I can tell is this — during a China war there will be so many targets that even if all of the allies double or triple their national debts, there is not enough cash on this planet to pay for high-end munitions like cruise and ballistic missiles. Hence, a strategic and tactical set of logistical and financial plans is needed now on prioritizing targets – from high-intensity priority targets — command and control nodes, leadership bunkers, and ways to paralyze military and civilian logistical flows in China — versus middling and lesser but still require hitting targets (bridges, transportation hubs, power grids, fuel depots, munition storage, etc.) A student asked me recently how I am assessing where we are now, and I told her this: in 2022 when I started my Taiwan “long-stay” I thought the probability of a China war was low-ish. By 2024, if we go by what the American and allied militaries are doing — reinforcing military bases, stocking up on munitions, scoping out key areas of combat (Taiwan’s northeast/Japan’s southwest; Philippines’ northeast/Taiwan’s southeast) with actual forces, then I’d say the militaries, whatever intelligence and guesses they have, are preparing for a real war. Again, I think the most likely place where this thing starts is in the South Sea, and likely caused by an incompetent Chinese officer making a dreadful, stupid move to spark the whole thing. Thereafter, look, calling this the nucular age is not just for fun — the likelihood of a nucular exchange is not low.
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