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President Tsai Ing-wen and this emerging Taiwanese national identity, part two, Returning the China KMT to China. Taiwan Republic 台灣国, national identity, and world history classrooms.

President Tsai Ing-wen and this emerging Taiwanese national identity, part two, Returning the China KMT to China. Taiwan Republic 台灣国, national identity, and world history classrooms. For the first time in eight years, Taiwan’s legislature has a pro-communist-China majority, and with street protests and headlines, it feels as if Taiwanese democracy has descended into chaos. However, with historical context, particularly comparing President Lai’s first term with President Chen’s perilous eight years, this emerging Taiwanese national identity during President Tsai’s exceptional eight years has created an entirely different domestic and global reality.

President Tsai’s DPP has co-opted symbols and iconographies of “RoC” as “RoC Taiwan” – pro-democracy, anticommunist, Taiwanese democratic sovereignty – for a remarkable example, see President Lai’s recent speech at the ‘RoC’ Army Academy. This means the DPP now occupies a mainstream position within Taiwan’s democratic polity, while at the same time, the China KMT’s former president Ma has repeatedly rejected Taiwan’s democratic sovereignty, and its current vice chair visited communist China asserting that Taiwanese are also “Chinese 中国人”。China KMT’s radicalization has, given Ma’s recent trip to communist China, meant that the only major concession left of any worth that the China KMT has to give to Beijing is to acknowledge that the “one China” they support is the People’s Republic of China, and that Taiwan and Taiwanese should be subjects – dictatorships have subjects and no citizens — of this communist China. If you think of the Taiwanese political spectrum as running from China/Chinese to Taiwan/Taiwanese, and from democracy to authoritarianism – President Lee’s dream of a moderate, indigenized Taiwan KMT was the last chance that this authoritarian foreign party had to remain competitive in national elections in Taiwan – whereas President Tsai has pulled DPP into a larger, more moderate domestic coalition – acceptable to US and the Free World.

Another way to think about the China KMT’s radicalization, and now the fledgling China People’s Party, and their quandary – with possible reliance on foreign financial support, an absolute minority of hard-core anti-democracy and pro-China supporters (think of the same dilemma faced by American GOP candidates, with a MAGA dominated party primary, and a moderate-centrist voting citizenry). Leave aside one’s own value judgment, let’s ponder electoral politics. If you are the China KMT, and you have been in the political wilderness for eight years, and for the first time since Taiwan became a democratic nation, a two-term incumbent DPP president has successfully extended DPP’s presidential term to the sitting VP, and you barely won a legislative majority – would the reasonable electoral strategy to expand your future electoral coalition _in Taiwan_ in both the legislative and executive branches be to promote highly polarizing, anti-democratic, and pro-communist China legislations? The DPP has many domestic political weaknesses – dissatisfied younger voters, income inequality, housing crisis, educational stagnation …. Yet the China KMT and People’s Party chose highly polarizing, ideologically pro-communist China legislation to begin. Doesn’t make any sense does it.

The only way China KMT’s legislative agenda makes any sense is to understand how Taiwan’s emerging national identity has evolved under President Tsai, and how a moderate status quo DPP has become a political dilemma faced by a radicalizing anti-democratic China KMT. The China KMT’s latest presidential candidate, New Taipei mayor Hou, himself a native Taiwanese, spent years painstakingly avoiding polarizing pro-China issues, and kept the China KMT at arm’s length – yet right after he was nominated by the China KMT, he too could not overcome the pressure by his radicalized party’s leadership to nominate a pro-China VP candidate, and to accept electorally disastrous policies (granting electoral right to Chinese communist subjects; opening Taiwanese job markets to Chinese communist students). A sensible candidate without this baggage known as the China KMT might have focused on center-right issues – housing, pollution, education, income equality, or after eight years of DPP executive and legislative majority, a candidate with a party not beholden to the Chinese communists might have wisely simply focused, as Obama did, on “change.”

While President Tsai did not push the China KMT towards radicalization – that pro-China anti-democracy coup started when Ma and Lien pushed Lee out of the China KMT, and came as a result of financial dependency, ideology, and primarily due to an authoritarian minority used to colonialist privileges resenting democratization removing those bounties – Tsai pulling the DPP into the moderate status quo position and coopting ‘RoC’ institutions and iconographies – the DPP took over the ideological, national identity vacuum abandoned by the China KMT. Therefore, President Lai’s position is far more stable than President Chen because of this shifting domestic and global landscape. The unique challenge he faces is that as the China KMT becomes radically anti-democracy and pro-Chinese annexation, Taiwan’s democracy will face sharper challenges because Taiwan’s major opposition parties are essentially insurrectionists. With time one assumes (hopes?) an opposition party that affirms Taiwan’s democratic sovereignty will emerge – but for the time being, this will be a challenging moment, particularly given China’s desperation and direct interference into Taiwanese democracy. 18.6.2024

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金融時報:立院職權修法 為中國對台滲透創造可乘之機 FT: Legislations passed by Taiwan Legislature Open Door for Chinese Communist Infiltration, CNA 中央社. Democracy, world history, and Taiwan Republic 台灣国 classrooms.

金融時報:立院職權修法 為中國對台滲透創造可乘之機 FT: Legislations passed by Taiwan Legislature Open Door for Chinese Communist Infiltration, CNA 中央社. Democracy, world history, and Taiwan Republic 台灣国 classrooms. It will take time to fully assess how much damage the thin majority the pro-communist China parties in Taiwan have done with their “reform” bills in the legislature. This Financial Times report – unless you believe the FT works on behalf of the ruling DPP – is a fair summary.

  1. The problem with the “status quo.” This horribly designed constitution Taiwan is forced to use was reluctantly created by the China KMT when it nominally ruled China. The China KMT, a Leninist authoritarian elder cousin to the Chinese Communist Party, never intended for the constitution to serve a liberal democracy. It resisted democracy in China by imposing a one-party dictatorship and dressing it up as a Period of Political Tutelage for decades. The problem with the fictional “status quo” insisted by the US, the Chinese, and the Chinese occupiers-colonialists in Taiwan, is that it forces a modern, dynamic, island democratic nation to use a constitution invented by backward, authoritarian, Chinese dictators from decades ago.
  2. All domain warfare against liberal democracies. None of this makes any sense without understanding the meaning of “all domain warfare” waged by the Chinese communists. Idealists from safer democracies in the West can pretend that there were better decades when the Chinese communists mellowed with trade and cultural exchanges and educational agreements – in reality, Beijing has never, ever stopped its all-domain warfare against all liberal democracies. An important tool in that communist toolbox – as Chairman Mao wisely taught, never fight a military war without being fully confident of victory – is to subvert and damage liberal democracies with democratic tools. Just as Putin’s Russia is seeking to defeat the US from within, the Chinese communists see pro-China parties in Taiwan as their best tools to defeat Taiwan’s democratic sovereignty from within.
  3. Echoes from Ukraine. How Putin’s neo-communists damaged Ukraine through electoral politics and information warfare before the full-on military invasion, and how Putin and Xi’s communist dictatorships have attempted to weaken American and other Western democracies with democratic principles – free speech, etc., are good examples to remember when studying what the China KMT and the China People’s Party are doing with their paper-thin majority in the Taiwan legislature.
  4. Saving liberal democracies from neo-authoritarians. A broader-deeper problem for those who support Taiwan’s democratic sovereignty must ponder is embedded within a twin threat. On the one hand, it is the US-imposed status quo that requires rethinking (on many, many levels – Chinese Communist Party arming itself to enact a form of Chinese imperialism against the region and the world that decades ago appeared less likely; coupled with a Taiwanese democracy that can no longer tolerate a poorly designed, anti-democratic, outdated constitution imposed on Taiwan by the China KMT invaders). It is also that all liberal democracies are facing a modernized, dynamic, sophisticated, and well-funded authoritarian world history moment – from communist China and Russia to authoritarian multi-billionaires and multinationals. How does a liberal democracy remain a democratic nation worth dying and killing for – while adapting extraordinary measures to combat extraordinary attacks? We see the US and Western Europe grappling with this dilemma – Taiwan and Ukraine are on the very cutting edge, the frontline of this new world war to save democracy.
  5. A final historical context, though this current wave of assault from the Chinese communists and its allies in the China KMT and China People’s Party is grave and severe. During the first DPP presidential administration of Chen Shui-bian the China KMT and allied pro-China parties not only held a vast majority in the legislature – it had the advantage of holding similar majorities over the military, judicial, and executive bureaucracies. Chen and the DPP, because of the China KMT dictatorship, had difficulty staffing the executive branch and had a vast knowledge-experience gap. The pro-China parties back then had the additional advantage of American ambivalence – US policymakers were more used to dealing with the authoritarian China KMT, and they still entertained the fantasy of double deterrence. President Tsai’s eight years were highly frustrating for enemies of Taiwanese democracy foreign and domestic partly because of her unusual personality – quiet confidence, counter-cultural lack of need to be at the center of attention, and stubbornness on core principles. What is usually lost to analysts of Taiwanese politics is that had Ma and other pro-China fascist-authoritarians not kicked President Lee out of the KMT, had Lee’s dream of turning the China KMT into a democratic Taiwan KMT – an LDP of Taiwan – President Tsai and her RoC Taiwan majority would have been a Taiwan KMT administration. An important reason for Tsai’s success is that she came up as a China KMT technocrat – she knows where the China KMT bodies are buried, she understands their dirty tricks, and she is comfortable with the China KMT invented national bureaucracy. While one ought to be alarmed by this latest assault upon Taiwan’s democracy and independence carried out by the China KMT and the China People’s Party, one should be hopeful that unlike the dangerous days of Lee’s and Chen’s second term when pro-China anti-democracy forces attempted nearly successful soft coups, Taiwanese democracy has become more resilient, that DPP executives have had more experience, and that US and the Free World now sees a clear line of demarcation between pro-democracy and anti-democracy forces inside Taiwan.

© Taiwan in World History 台灣與世界歷史. This site grants open access for educational and not-for-profit use. Maps and illustrations are borrowed under educational and not-for-profit fair use. If you are the rights holder and prefer not to have your work shared, please email TaiwanWorldHistory (at) Gmail (dot) com and the content will be removed.

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New change at the Pentagon waters down focus on Taiwan, critics say “Anything that dilutes America’s focus on helping Taiwan to defend itself is a really bad idea,” Sen. Dan Sullivan said, Politico: Geostrategery, politics, and Taiwan Republic classrooms

The Pentagon has made administrative changes in how it handles Taiwan policy, a shift that lawmakers and former officials say sends the wrong signal to Beijing as the Chinese military steps up drills around the self-ruled island. The move — which involves placing the Taiwan portfolio under the office responsible for China policy — could provide a new line of attack among President Joe Biden’s opponents who claim he is weak on China. The changes come as officials are increasingly worried about Beijing’s aggression toward Taiwan, particularly after a crisis erupted in the Taiwan Strait in August after China launched unprecedented military exercises, including sending missiles over the island, in response to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei. “Anything that dilutes America’s focus on helping Taiwan to defend itself is a really bad idea,” Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) told POLITICO. “Pulling Taiwan back into a portfolio dominated by China sends the wrong signal to Beijing — that they can dictate our relationship with the island democracy. Or worse, it will facilitate consultation with Beijing on our approach to Taiwan’s security needs.” “The Chinese will not interpret this as a coincidence,” said Heino Klinck, who served as the deputy assistant secretary of Defense for East Asia in the Trump administration. “I think unintentionally or perhaps naively, we are signaling that our relationship with Taiwan is a subset of our relationship with mainland China.”

I have confidence in President Biden and most of his national security liberal hawks. Unlike the corporate media and DC chattering class, I don’t think President Biden repeatedly committed Taiwan “gaffes” – any more than I believe he committed Ukraine “gaffes.” And most of the Biden national security officials are professional, competent, and for a Democratic administration, perhaps the most Taiwan conscious since 1979. And of all of the bureaucratic institutions in DC, the Pentagon is the one I worry the least about when it comes to what the Taiwan Republic means to American national interest.

This move, however, does fall into a worrisome pattern of Biden administration’s unforced errors re: the Chinese communists. Cutting through the useless and misleading constructs of hawks versus doves, provocation versus conciliation for the moment – this is not the first time where the Biden team has taken a status quo/reality and walked themselves back and twisted themselves in knots with little gained. A routine visit to the Taiwan Republic by the Speaker of the House turned, in large parts by the Biden White House and the DC chattering class, into an unnecessary international incident. The Biden State Department needlessly edited, multiple times, its Taiwan Policy webpage. And now, this superfluous – and easily misinterpreted by the Chinese communists – move by the Pentagon to place Taiwan underneath the China portfolio – whatever bureaucratic efficiency and “right-sizing” that may come from this move, it is difficult to argue that the damage to Taiwan and America is justified.

And this is where the establishment US-western – academia, media, think tanks, and officialdom – dealing with the Chinese communists remain blissfully, stubbornly detached from reality. To the Chinese communists and their struggle against the US and global democracies, the war is in all realms, in all ways – commerce, technology, higher ed, information, public, private, NGOs …. Name the realm, and for Beijing, it is just another battlespace. And so, for whatever reason and whatever purpose the Pentagon saw fit to make this change, the most disheartening part is that leading US national security officials remain ignorant of the type of struggle the Chinese communists are waging against the US and other democracies. To use a phrase favored by the Biden team – the Chinese communists are waging an “all of government/all of nation” war against the US and democracies. We cannot afford to not perceive this and adjust how we conceptualize the global geostrategic environment. The two key elements to deter a Chinese communist war of annexation against Taiwan. First, dictator Xi and the Chinese communists must be made to understand that a war of their own choosing will end their dictatorship. Second, the US, Japan and other democracies must internationalize Taiwan – separate it from China. This Pentagon move does the opposite of these two key prime directives. 19.9.2022

Additional reporting: Taiwan portfolio change in US prompts concern
WRONG MESSAGE? A regulatory change putting Washington’s Taiwan oversight into its ‘China’ office waters down focus on Taipei and is inappropriate, critics said

© Taiwan in World History 台灣與世界歷史. This site grants open access for educational and not-for-profit use. Maps and illustrations are borrowed under educational and not-for-profit fair use. If you are the rights holder and prefer to not have your work shared, please email TaiwanWorldHistory (at) Gmail (dot) com and the content will be removed.

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